rho method
Wednesday, April 12, 2006
Bayesian's view in conseling
回應阿玲
你需要諮商嗎?
一種對於問題的明確分類(如愛丁堡大學所做),是限制還是協助學生求助?
最近學習當個貝氏信徒(Bayesian),也就是什麼事都傾向以(後設)條件機率來解讀。
把問題細切的好處是,減低搜尋解藥的成本,放大
對症下藥
的可能性。又,不管引起焦慮的原因是什麼,先降低不確定性對於減輕焦慮該是有幫助的吧?
但貝氏信徒不排除問題分類錯誤的可能,也不排除診斷正確但藥石無效的可能。這個信仰的最大缺陷就是容易陷入頭痛醫頭腳痛醫腳的泥淖。
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